Renown vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
RSC
2 - 2
REN
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
REN
5 - 2
KAL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
JSC
2 - 0
REN
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
REN
3 - 2
JAV
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DBO
4 - 1
REN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ARM
0 - 0
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ARM
0 - 2
DBO
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 0
ARM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ARM
5 - 0
JSC
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 4
ARM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |