Renova vs Napredok Kičevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
RAB
5 - 1
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
11O
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HTR
0 - 1
REN
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SHK
2 - 2
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napredok Kičevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TET
1 - 0
NAP
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 1
RAB
28%
29%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
11O
2 - 2
NAP
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
HTR
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |