Reno FC vs Sporting Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
REN
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
REN
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REN
0 - 1
WAT
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BOY
0 - 3
REN
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
HIG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 2
SPO
49%
28%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
ARN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
SPO
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |