Rende vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TER
3 - 0
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
USV
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BIS
1 - 0
REN
38%
26%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
TER
3 - 1
REN
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
REN
2 - 2
CAS
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
CAV
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAG
0 - 0
SIC
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |