Rende vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
VIT
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
REN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REN
2 - 1
RIE
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
CAS
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAG
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
TRA
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
RIE
4 - 1
PAG
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |