Rende vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BIS
0 - 0
REN
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
FCC
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
REN
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
FRA
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 0
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 2
FRA
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 0
PAG
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 0
TRA
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |