Rende vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 1
REN
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GLA
0 - 2
REN
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FCF
1 - 0
REN
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
CAV
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
1 - 1
RAA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 2
FCI
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
PAL
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GLA
1 - 4
FCI
28%
22%
50%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |