Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 2-2
Renate vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
JS2
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
REN
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
CES
2 - 3
MAT
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 1
SSS
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAT
3 - 0
IMO
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 0
MAT
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |