Renate vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
REN
3 - 1
ACG
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
REN
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LEC
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
USP
1 - 1
BOR
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAV
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 1
BOR
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACG
0 - 0
BOR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |