Renate vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 2
FER
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GER
3 - 0
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 3
NOV
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
REN
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
4 - 1
USC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
3 - 0
GER
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 1
SAS
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
PAV
24%
25%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |