Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Remo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
REM
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REM
3 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 1
REM
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
REM
3 - 0
PAL
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
REM
15%
22%
64%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
REM
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |