Reinmeer Aomori vs TIAMO Hirakata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
5º
28
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
30 | 57 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 55 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 54 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 53 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 29 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reinmeer Aomori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VER
1 - 0
REA
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
YFM
0 - 2
REA
85%
12%
4%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
REA
3 - 0
YSC
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CRS
0 - 1
REA
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
REA
5 - 0
BTO
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
TIAMO Hirakata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
TIA
2 - 2
OSV
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
YOK
2 - 3
TIA
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TIA
0 - 1
MIO
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VEK
3 - 2
TIA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TIA
3 - 1
URA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |