Reichenau vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
2º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 2
REI
19%
21%
61%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
REI
1 - 1
WAT
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KUF
1 - 0
REI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
REI
1 - 2
KIT
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
KUN
1 - 2
REI
11%
20%
68%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 3
FUG
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
5 - 1
WOR
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 3
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 2
WAT
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KUF
2 - 1
WOR
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |