Reichenau / Union II vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenau / Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
SVA
3 - 2
RUI
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
RUI
1 - 0
IAC
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
KUN
3 - 1
RUI
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
RUI
1 - 0
JEN
64%
19%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RUI
4 - 2
KIT
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
KIR
2 - 2
HAL
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
IMS
5 - 3
KIR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
KIR
1 - 3
MAT
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SCK
0 - 3
KIR
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KIR
4 - 0
SVI
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |