Reggina vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BIS
1 - 2
REG
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAV
3 - 0
REG
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 2
REG
18%
26%
57%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
REG
1 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TER
0 - 3
REG
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
CAT
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FRA
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAV
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |