Reggina vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
REG
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
REG
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 1
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUS
35%
26%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
FIA
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |