Redondense vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
RED
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
RED
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
QUA
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
RED
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
UNI
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SES
2 - 3
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
SES
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
SES
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SES
1 - 2
LAG
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |