Redondense vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAB
4 - 2
RED
84%
13%
3%
|
18 | 71 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
RED
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RED
3 - 1
ALJ
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SES
2 - 1
RED
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
DES
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
SES
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
LAG
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |