Redondense vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
RED
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
SES
32%
25%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
RED
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
RED
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RED
2 - 1
QUA
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 3
ALJ
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
LAG
12%
19%
69%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |