Redondense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redondense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
RED
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RED
1 - 2
FER
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 0
RED
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RED
0 - 5
SAC
6%
15%
79%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PRA
4 - 1
RED
90%
9%
2%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 1
LOU
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OLH
0 - 2
IDE
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 2
CAS
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
IDE
33%
22%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |