REDI Colón vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
REDI Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 0
RDC
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
RDC
83%
13%
5%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
RDC
3 - 1
ZUL
7%
15%
79%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RDC
1 - 2
ZUL
14%
22%
65%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PDB
1 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 6
ESC
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
DIA
5 - 0
POL
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
YAR
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |