Red Star vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 0
RED
11%
21%
68%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
ORL
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 1
RED
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 2
TRO
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLP
0 - 3
RED
7%
14%
79%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
VAL
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
GAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ORL
0 - 2
VAL
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 3
BOU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ETA
0 - 2
VAL
6%
12%
82%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |