Red Star vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 2
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RED
2 - 0
COL
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
TOF
1 - 3
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NIO
4 - 0
RED
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
YZE
2 - 0
RED
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
YZE
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEM
2 - 1
LUC
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LES
2 - 2
LUC
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
GDB
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LES
1 - 1
LUC
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |