Red Star vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
OLY
2 - 2
RED
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1996 |
RED
0 - 1
STL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 0
RED
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
RED
2 - 0
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
RED
0 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
POI
1 - 1
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 0
ASN
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
CHA
1 - 0
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
OLY
1 - 2
LOR
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |