Red Star vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
54.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
RED
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
TOF
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
RED
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 0
FCL
19%
26%
55%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
RED
0 - 1
FON
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 0
YZE
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 1
NIO
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 1
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LES
1 - 1
NIO
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NIO
3 - 0
GDB
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |