Red Star vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
REN
1 - 1
RED
71%
18%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
RED
1 - 2
LYO
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
RED
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
RED
0 - 2
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 1
RED
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1968 |
LYO
8 - 3
BAS
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 2
REN
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
NÎM
2 - 1
BAS
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1968 |
NIC
2 - 2
BAS
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |