Red Star vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
RED
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
RED
0 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
STL
0 - 2
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
RED
0 - 2
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
3 - 0
RED
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
BEZ
45%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
QUE
0 - 1
AVR
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
LYO
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
AVR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
AVR
0 - 1
USB
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |