Red Star vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
RED
2 - 3
GRE
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
4 - 1
RED
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
LOR
19%
24%
58%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 1
RED
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
AUX
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 0
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
PFC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
NIO
2 - 0
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |