Red Star vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
LHA
1 - 1
RED
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
RED
0 - 1
REI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
RED
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
RED
1 - 3
CLE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
SOC
2 - 0
RED
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
CLE
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 2
AJA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 0
ORL
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 2
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |