Red Star Zürich vs Gambarogno - Contone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
42
7º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 2
RSZ
26%
22%
51%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
FCU
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
RSZ
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RSZ
0 - 0
SCE
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
RSZ
19%
22%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
ZUG
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 2
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |