Red Star Zürich vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSZ
1 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
KUS
0 - 3
RSZ
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RSZ
1 - 0
UST
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
RSZ
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RSZ
0 - 2
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 3
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AAR
1 - 3
KOS
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 6
AAR
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 1
DIE
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 3
AAR
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |