Red Star Zürich vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KOS
0 - 3
RSZ
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RSZ
2 - 2
SUB
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCW
1 - 2
RSZ
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KUS
1 - 2
RSZ
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RSZ
1 - 1
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 1
KUS
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
5 - 2
AAR
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 3
FCT
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 4
AAR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
DIE
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |