Red Star vs Sl Navy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
RED
0 - 2
COL
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 1
RED
41%
22%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
RED
1 - 1
MAT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sl Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
NAV
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NAV
4 - 1
NEG
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NAV
0 - 1
BLU
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
NAV
3 - 1
SLP
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
JAV
1 - 0
NAV
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |