Red Star Merl-Belair vs Union Remich / Bous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
35
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RSM
0 - 4
USM
7%
12%
81%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FCB
2 - 4
RSM
11%
15%
74%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RSM
0 - 4
MON
16%
18%
66%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RSM
1 - 4
SAN
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RSM
0 - 2
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Union Remich / Bous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
UKT
2 - 3
URE
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
URE
5 - 1
FCS
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SYR
1 - 0
URE
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
URE
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
URE
1 - 3
OBE
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |