Red Star Merl-Belair vs Union Kayl-Tétange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
53.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
59
3º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
RSM
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 1
BWI
39%
21%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
RSM
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
RSM
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
TBB
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Kayl-Tétange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 4
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SYR
2 - 3
UKT
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
RBE
2 - 1
UKT
31%
21%
48%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 2
ESC
50%
21%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UKT
1 - 1
KOE
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |