Red Star Merl-Belair vs The Belval Belvaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
62
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
RSM
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 3
SYR
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 0
RSM
58%
19%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
RBE
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 1
BWM
21%
19%
60%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
USS
0 - 2
TBB
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SYR
5 - 0
TBB
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 2
ESC
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 0
TBB
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |