Red Star Merl-Belair vs Sporting Bertrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
22
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
RSM
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
6 - 2
TBB
38%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 3
CBG
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 3
RSM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 1
URE
69%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 3
TBB
70%
17%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 3
SPO
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 0
SYR
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 2
SPO
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |