Red Star Merl-Belair vs Schengen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JEU
2 - 2
RSM
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUN
2 - 5
RSM
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LXC
2 - 1
RSM
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KEH
0 - 1
RSM
60%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RSM
3 - 2
UKT
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 4
KEH
30%
22%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UKT
2 - 4
SCH
47%
22%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
BWI
53%
22%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
URE
2 - 1
SCH
25%
20%
55%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
RBE
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |