Red Star Merl-Belair vs Red Black Pfaffenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
38
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 1
BWM
21%
19%
60%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 0
RSM
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
4 - 2
SPO
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
RSM
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
6 - 2
TBB
38%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Red Black Pfaffenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 0
ALI
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 0
TBB
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
RBE
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 4
SYR
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EGR
2 - 8
RBE
9%
14%
76%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |