Red Star Merl-Belair vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
63
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
RSM
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RSM
3 - 2
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CBG
2 - 2
RSM
82%
11%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 2
UKT
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
RSM
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 3
TBB
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
KOE
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
2 - 3
SYR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
KOE
39%
21%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
3 - 0
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |