Red Star Merl-Belair vs Blo-Wäiss Izeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
13º
11º
35
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
RSM
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
RSM
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
TBB
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
RSM
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 3
SYR
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 6
BWI
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BWI
2 - 0
TBB
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 1
SYR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
BWI
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 0
RBE
30%
23%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |