Red Lions vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 1
RED
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
RED
84%
13%
4%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
RED
0 - 1
CON
7%
20%
73%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RED
3 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2013 |
AZT
2 - 1
RED
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BUL
1 - 0
KAM
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KAM
4 - 2
AZT
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
KAM
0 - 1
BLU
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
KAM
2 - 0
EPA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
KAM
2 - 1
MPO
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |