Red Black Pfaffenthal vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Black Pfaffenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
RBE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RES
3 - 1
RBE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RBE
1 - 2
UKT
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SYR
1 - 2
RBE
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
RBE
4 - 0
LUN
68%
17%
16%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
5 - 0
USS
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 2
GRE
21%
22%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
URE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UKT
0 - 4
GRE
27%
23%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |