Red Arrows vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
NKW
2 - 3
RED
28%
30%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
POW
0 - 0
RED
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
RED
1 - 0
LUD
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RED
3 - 1
BFC
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
RED
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASY
1 - 0
ZAN
88%
9%
2%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ZAN
2 - 0
NKW
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ZAN
1 - 0
CSS
12%
22%
65%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 0
ZAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ZAN
2 - 3
TRI
11%
20%
70%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | -1 |