Red Arrows vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
RED
0 - 0
KAB
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
RED
19%
31%
51%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KIT
0 - 2
RED
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RED
0 - 1
LUD
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RED
1 - 0
GRE
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
PRL
1 - 2
ZAN
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ZAN
6 - 1
MUF
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
ZAN
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KAB
3 - 2
ZAN
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ZAN
1 - 0
LEO
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |