Red Arrows vs Zanaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
KAB
0 - 0
RED
44%
31%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
ZES
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NCH
0 - 0
RED
47%
29%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RED
3 - 0
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POW
4 - 0
RED
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zanaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ZAN
1 - 3
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 0
ZAN
52%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NKW
1 - 0
ZAN
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ZAN
2 - 3
ROA
54%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
KON
0 - 0
ZAN
45%
29%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |