Red Arrows vs National Assembly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
BFC
3 - 2
RED
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RED
1 - 1
FOR
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 1
RED
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
RED
0 - 0
EAG
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
NCH
2 - 1
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
National Assembly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
LEO
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
KIT
3 - 0
NAT
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
ZAN
3 - 2
NAT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NAT
1 - 1
KYS
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAT
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |