Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ZES
2 - 1
RED
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NKW
2 - 0
RED
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RED
2 - 0
EAG
44%
29%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
RED
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
POW
1 - 0
RED
48%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 0
PRL
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ZAN
2 - 1
LUD
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 1
KAB
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUR
0 - 2
LUD
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 3
FOR
53%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |