Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
RED
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
ZAN
2 - 1
RED
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RED
1 - 0
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KAD
1 - 0
RED
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
POW
0 - 1
RED
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUF
0 - 2
LUD
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LUD
2 - 2
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LUD
1 - 1
NKA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
0 - 0
LUD
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUD
2 - 1
POW
45%
27%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |