Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
20%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RED
1 - 0
GRE
31%
31%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PRL
1 - 1
RED
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
MUF
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ZAN
4 - 1
RED
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
RED
0 - 2
NAP
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LUD
1 - 0
PRL
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MUF
0 - 0
LUD
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 5
ZAN
26%
26%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
KAB
1 - 1
LUD
51%
28%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 4
NKA
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -2 |